Daily Kos is keeping and up-to-date ticker of pledged delegates and superdelegates as the Democratic Primaries begin to wrap up this weekend with Sunday's Puerto Rican Primary, followed by contests in Montana and South Dakota on Tuesday, accounting for a combined 86 delegates.
With the news today that Meredith Wood Smith of Oregon and Pat Waak of Colorado, both Democratic Party Chairs and Superdelegates, have endorsed Senator Obama, the Kos chart suggests that Senator Obama's Magic Number is 46.
Although no polling is available for Puerto Rico, we can reasonably assert that Senator Obama will pick up no less than 45% of the vote in the final three elections of the primary season, which will net Senator Obama around 38 delegates. This cuts his magic number down to 8.
197 Superdelgates are still unpledged. If they play by Chairman Dean's rules and make their selection by June 3, we should see an average of 28 endorsements a day. Senator Obama needs to pick up 8 of these endorsements, or 4%.
Senator Obama may need more Superdelegates pending the results of this weekend's decision by the DNC Rules Committee. We will be tracking the magic number for Senator Obama and Senator Clinton every morning as more Superdelegates reveal themselves.
Post new comment