Earlier this week, Quinnipiac released a poll showing Senator Obama ahead in three swing states: Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio. Read poll information here. What wasn't included in the poll, was any information on how Obama was performing among Hispanic voters in the crucial state of Florida.
I contacted the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, and Mr Pankaj Prakash was kind enough to provide me the information for Hispanic voters in Florida. Their data indicates that Senator Obama is ahead of Senator McCain among Hispanics 53 to 43. This is just the latest in a series of bad polls for Senator McCain. If there were any swing state where McCain could have hoped to win the Hispanic vote that is the state of Florida, and even in this state he is losing among Hispanics. Senator McCain has already been airing spanish language ads in Florida aimed at courting Florida's Cuban voters, but unfortunately they have not been working for him.
Many insiders, analysts and observers are addicted to the national polls at the moment and I will admit that I need my weekly fix as well. However, these elections are decided on a state by state basis, and Senator McCain is losing in too many critical battleground states for his camp to be happy with a competitive national survey. It will be intetresting to see how these numbers fluctuate once Senator Obama's ad campaign begins to take effect.
The Polls and False Hope
This will hold until the GOP begins publishing its investigation on what Obama did to fellow minorities in Chicago.
Enjoy it while it lasts. I predict the Obama-favorable polls will end..oh...about September, just after his nomination becomes official.
Here are crucial aspects of how what polls will reflect as time goes on. There is no responsibility or wisdom in nursing or promoting false hope..
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"Look. I'm going to forego political-correctness and get down to the brass tacks of what nobody in the democratic party wants to hear. It has to do with racism and common sense. And no, the two are definitely not related but are integral aspects of the wide spectrum of people who make up the democratic party.
When I'm playing devil's (GOP) advocate here, it helps to consider that when it comes to bare-bones strategy, they think like reptiles..
1. The GOP/Big Media blatantly and shamelessly promoted Barack Obama in the primaries to "presumptive nominee" (Oh how they hoped and still do that Hillary will formally concede...she hasn't) knowing full well that there are way too many covertly or otherwise bigoted whites in the democratic party to make him a viable threat after the convention, number wise. And failing the bigoted angle, they knew that there are also way too many educated and practical people in the democratic party middle ground who are experienced enough to know that a smooth-talking, underexperienced Johnny-come-lately like Obama would spell a win for them in these troubled times. They are taking advantage of legitimate fear.
(did I mention they operate like reptiles?)
2. They actively sabotaged HIllary Clinton, knowing that not only the covertly or otherwise bigoted whites in the democratic party would support her upon her nomination, but that her longtime support of minorities would unify the Obama crowd as well for a real and viable threat to McCain. The GOP knows full well that Clinton would have white, minority and women's support. That's everyone folks. And worst of all (again, coming from their POV) Hillary Clinton's husband brought our country the strongest economy in US history. That was a demon they could not beat back to save their lives.
So who did they promote? Was it the candidate they knew who would split the democratic party into shards and gain them a win in November or the one who would unify all democrats and gain them a loss in November?
Remember, these guys have been doing this bit for decades and longer. They're professionals.. If you don't believe me, ask yourself why McCain hasn't gone for Obama's weakest of weak spots: His abuse of fellow progressive minorites in the Chicago election. Do you actually think that Obama abusing fellow minorities (his main base of support) has somehow slipped by the GOP? Do you think they'll let it rest in the interest of not stooping that low? Guess again. Look for that as soon as the August convention ends.
There are so many GOP fingers crossed right now hoping Obama people will fight to the death to save their fatally-flawed candidate to become the actual nominee come August that you wouldn't even believe.
It's so simple a kindergartener could figure it out. Yet still it seems to have escaped the radar of the delegates. Should we run a race on race? Obama says we should...and that's a big problem because it's a double-edged sword. He wants people to recognize blacks/minorities for their acheivements while simultaneously elevating himself without qualifications based on his racial ancestory. He wants to behave abusively towards minorities and gain their respect as their champion all at the same time.
And still no one notices this glaring aspect of racism. The situation is complex. That's why we MUST ignore the temptation to be drawn to race or gender and just look at resume's and who would be the most likely candidate for a win based on experience. If Obama had a resume' that listed active military service or experience as an ambassador..anything that might suggest he could handle the helm instead of flubb it, and if he himself had not brought up race as an issue, even bigots could see that he outshines McCain. Yet that's not on his resume'. And those other complex problems he himself has created with manipulating racism....he just cannot win folks. I'm speaking from the devil's POV and dammit, they're right.. At least on this one, and most crucial point.
It just happens this time around the more experienced and qualified democratic candidate also coincides with the one candidate who can also garner the most support come November.
Sometimes the truth is a bitter pill.
Remember, I'm foregoing political correctness now and telling you how it really is. Don't blame the messenger."
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That was then, and this is Now
"By an equality, that now at this time your abundance may be a supply for their want, that their abundance also may be a supply for your want: that their may be equality":
2 Corinthians 8:14
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